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Bounded MCX Pilot Readiness Dynamics — refreshed capture
Illustrative two-state dynamics derived only from the CIDX prototype series: the latest modeled readiness score seeds the protected state, its complement seeds shared pressure, the latest positive stage delta drives recovery, and the largest observed one-stage decline drives regression. These are modeling parameters, not operator thresholds or observed rates.
Compartments
| Name | Color | Initial Fraction |
|---|---|---|
| Within modeled protection envelope | — | 0.4584 |
| Outside modeled protection envelope | — | 0.5416 |
Flows
| From | To | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| pressure | protected | recovery * pressure |
| protected | pressure | regression * protected |
Parameters
| Name | Label | Default | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| recovery | Derived from the CIDX prototype change from Stage 5 score 0.4479 to Stage 6 score 0.4584. | 0.0105 | 0 – 1 |
| regression | Derived from the largest one-stage decline in the CIDX prototype series, from Stage 3 score 0.4376 to Stage 4 score 0.4330. | 0.0046 | 0 – 1 |
User-Facing States
Within modeled protection envelope protected * N
Outside modeled protection envelope pressure * N
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